The hysterics among those Democratic liberals and party familiars
among the blabbering classes who accuse Ralph Nader of creating
a constitutional crisis are spouting nonsense. There is no constitutional
crisis, only an election law dispute in one state. It appears that
only in two states did Nader receive votes larger than Bush's margin
of victory: New Hampshire (which would not have changed the electoral
college outcome) and possibly Florida.
Nader did receive nearly 100,000 votes in the Sunshine State, but
as he kept repeating
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It's not his fault that Al
Gore beat himself.
ALEX WONG/NEWSMAKERS
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during the campaign, only Al Gore could beat Al Gore. That's what
happened in Florida. If Gore loses there, it's because he failed to
carry the seniors, who were supposed to be the Democrats' firewall--exit
polling shows that he split them evenly with Bush. Gore failed to
achieve the substantial margin of victory he needed among seniors
to win the state with the largest percentage of over-65ers because
of his credibility problems. Too many different Gores--from the Gore
of the mythical "lockbox" to the Gore who proclaimed himself the candidate
of "smaller government"--showed up during the debates and the campaign
for the older voters to take him at his rhetorical word. As one disgruntled
Democrat put it: "I believe in everything Al Gore says--until he says
it."
It was the triangulators running both the Gore and Bush campaigns
who, in trying to steal the other's issues, further blurred the
marginal differences between (in Nader's phrase) the "do-little
party and the do-nothing party." (After the Los Angeles convention,
Gore's handlers told him that, having solidified his base with populist
rhetoric, he needed to move to the center; he did so--and sank in
the polls.) That's what made this a close election. And if you're
still looking for a different culprit, blame the Democrats who control
Palm Beach County for adopting the idiotic and deceptive "butterfly
ballot," which so confused older voters that some 19,000 ballots
(more than enough to give Gore the state even before the recount)
were thrown out by a judge because folks voted twice.
National exit poll totals indicate that only 40 percent of the
nearly 2.7 million votes Nader received might have gone to Gore
had the legendary consumer and workers' rights advocate not been
on the ballot--20 percent would have voted for Bush, while more
than 40 percent were new voters who otherwise wouldn't have bothered
to vote. Turnout nationally appears to have ticked up only one percentage
point over 1996--probably attributable to new Nader voters. (In
Madison, Wisconsin, for example, Naderites registered 53,000 new
voters.)
In some places, the Nader vote--much of it newly registered--probably
helped down-ballot Democrats. Nader made a California campaign stop
in Republican Rep. Brian Bilbray's district and denounced his environmental
record, which may have made the difference in Democrat Susan Davis'
eyelash-close victory. In Washington, if Maria Cantwell finally
edges out a victory over Sen. Slade Gorton, it will likely be the
new Nader voters who put her over the top.
The Greens generally avoided running candidates in swing districts.
An exception was New Jersey, where running a full slate enhanced
the party's ballot position. While Nader hardly campaigned there,
local Green candidates still got more than 5,000 votes in two swing
districts, making the difference in centrist Democrat Maryanne Connelly's
loss in the 7th District, and forcing freshman Rep. Rush Holt into
a recount. That should have the Democratic high command worried,
for Nader is gearing up to run Green candidates in dozens of House
districts.
Although he failed to achieve the 5 percent national threshold
for Federal Election Commission recognition, Nader's great achievement
was injecting a radical, systemic critique into the national
discourse for the first time since such thinking was ostracized
by the Cold War. And in the process, he mobilized and trained tens
of thousands of younger, single-issue militants in electoral politics--despite
the vicious attacks on him by the well-paid Stepford activists from
the Washington-based issue lobbies umbilically tied to the Democrats
and the Clinton White House.
Whether Nader's troops can be integrated into the Greens is an
open question, for the Green parties vary from state to state. Some,
like the Greens in California, Texas, New Mexico and Connecticut,
are models of openness and aggressive recruitment who have a well-grounded
history of working with local issues activists and labor. But in
New York, where the Greens split in two, the sectarian faction that
controls the ballot line has put up roadblocks in the form of stringent
membership requirements that keep the party membership small and
controllable.
Nader recognizes this problem: Although he ceaselessly promoted
the Green Party on the campaign trail, he is not a party member
himself, and won't become one. While he expects to exert considerable
influence on the Greens, he's going to keep a staff of eight or
so people and raise money for at least two new projects. One is
a watchdog group that, as he told third-party expert Micah Sifry,
would "have an investigator in each [congressional] district," publicizing
voting records that coddle special interests and encouraging candidate
recruitment. The second is a "People's Debate Commission" to counter
the corporate-sponsored Commission on Presidential Debates that
almost always locks out third-party candidates. Both of these projects
could attract support from progressives who won't join the Greens.
A Gallup poll taken a week after the election showed that, when
asked who'd make the best president, Americans were still divided
at 44 percent for Gore and 44 percent for Bush. A Washington
Post poll the next day showed a majority of voters said they
"weren't worried" about the election. So don't blame Nader for the
fact that the country couldn't make up its mind and has no overriding
passion for either Gush or Bore.
What the tawdry maneuverings in Florida mean is that for the foreseeable
future all the oxygen will be sucked out of the real debate over
power--corrupting big money in politics--as we are endlessly enmeshed
in a secondary debate over process. But Nader won't be going away,
and he will work to bring our attention back to the structural issues.
That's healthy for progressive politics, both inside and outside
the Democratic Party. 
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