Running through the center of Bulgaria's gritty capital is a yellow-brick
road named "Czar Liberator" in honor of Russia's Alexander II, who
helped end Ottoman occupation in the 19th century. Now Bulgarians
have pinned their hopes on another czar from their past: Simeon
II.
Exiled in 1946 by the Communists, Simeon Saxe-Coburg has returned
to Bulgaria triumphant thanks to the ballot box. On June 17 voters
handed his two-month-old National Movement Simeon II (NMSII) a landslide
victory in parliamentary elections. But is this 64-year-old blue
blood really a white knight come to save his homeland, or a Wizard
of Oz, all smoke, mirrors and impossible promises?
Although Simeon reigned for just three years between the death
of his father Boris III
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Bulgarians display masks
of Simeon (right)
and other party leaders.
JEANETTE GOEHRING
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in 1943 and his exile at the age of nine, many Bulgarians still address
him as "your majesty." But they did not vote for this lean, well-groomed
businessman from Madrid because they want a king. Support for Simeon
is chiefly a protest against the incumbents. "I voted for Simeon because
we need change," says Evelina Serveva, a disgruntled Sofia resident.
"We need more stability."
Since the fall of Communism in 1989, Bulgaria's 8 million people
have watched their East European neighbors make great strides forward,
while their own economy has just begun to crawl. It was in a tailspin
until 1997, when the right-wing Union of Democratic Forces (UDF)
came to power and began major reforms. State enterprises have been
privatized or closed, inflation has been tamed and the currency
stabilized. GDP grew by 5.8 percent in 2000. But these reforms came
at the cost of grinding poverty and social dislocation. Sky-high
taxes go to servicing $10 billion in foreign debt. Unemployment
officially stands at 18 percent, and inequality has climbed sharply.
An average worker is lucky to earn $100 a month, while a few Bulgarians
have grown very rich. "The current situation is not bearable," says
Daniela Kolarova, director of Partners for Change, a Sofia-based
organization that promotes civil society. "People are tired of waiting
for improvement."
Bulgarians are also sick of what media expert Ognian Zlatev describes
as "blunt, obvious corruption" in their officials. Some politicians
previously worked as agents for the communist-era secret police.
Kickbacks are endemic. The UDF's former Deputy Prime Minister, Alexander
Boshkov, earned the nickname "Mr. 10 Percent" from his involvement
in murky privatization deals.
Along came Simeon, an outsider with clean hands, a shining image,
and connections with European royals and financiers. Cynics argue
that his timing is perfect to harvest the fruits of the UDF's tough
reforms.
The NMSII has pledged to quickly raise living standards, overhaul
the tax and legal systems, root out corruption, trim the state bureaucracy
and increase salaries and pensions. The movement also plans to introduce
microcredit schemes, including zero-interest loans for entrepreneurs
and small businesses. Simeon says he will work to attract more foreign
investors and continue Bulgaria's drive to join the European Union
and NATO.
Bulgarians seem to believe him: The NMSII garnered nearly 43 percent
of the vote, a clear win over the UDF and the opposition Bulgarian
Socialist Party. NMSII officials said they will seek to form a coalition
government--most likely, analysts say, with the Movement for Rights
and Freedoms, which represents Bulgaria's Turkish minority.
Simeon hasn't said whether he plans to take an official post, and
speculation is rampant over whether he covets the prime minister's
job or plans to wait and run in the presidential election in the
fall. Some theorize he wants to establish a constitutional monarchy.
Bulgaria is in no shape to gamble on its future, and with continued
unrest and economic uncertainty in neighboring countries, economists
say even maintaining the current rate of growth will be a challenge.
Czar, wizard or jet-set business booster, Simeon has a lot of work
to do on Bulgaria's bumpy road to revival. 
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