For months, Mexican President Vicente Fox has managed to stay one
step ahead of the growing reality that little has changed in Mexico
since his election last year, which toppled the autocratic regime
that had controlled Mexican politics for 71 years. His critics charge
that, after nine months in office, Fox has failed to make good on
his pre-election promise to spur economic growth, end government
corruption and negotiate a peaceful solution to armed uprisings
in Mexico's poorest regions.
On July 2, the anniversary of his democratic triumph, Fox stole
headlines from his detractors by marrying his spokeswoman and ending
his controversial status as Mexico's most eligible bachelor. More
recently, in early September--only days after the Mexican public
coldly received his first state of the union address--Fox traveled
to Washington for a high-profile state dinner at the White House
and a speech before a joint session of Congress, in which he spoke
boldly in defense of millions of Mexican immigrants. By focusing
on the plight of immigrants in the United States, Fox shrewdly tapped
into Mexican nationalism and the bitter resentment of a country
that for centuries has been a doormat for the United States.
Not only was Fox able to regain his hero's status, but his visit
helps President Bush
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Fox has said that he is president
of 118 million people,
18 million living in the United States.
JOEFF
DAVIS
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make further inroads into a growing constituency. Media analyst and
pollster Sergio Bendixen told La
Jornada, a left-leaning Mexican daily, that Bush is trying
to "exorcise" anti-immigrant dogma from the Republican Party, and
"Vicente Fox is the exorcist." Hispanics represent a powerful voting
bloc that Bush and other Republicans can no longer ignore. The number
of registered Hispanic voters grew last year to more than 8 million,
up from 5 million in 1994. The Hispanic vote was 7 percent last year
and is expected to be 10 percent in the next presidential election.
What's more, Hispanics are centered in the most important electoral
states: California, New York, Texas, Illinois and Florida. In the
2000 election, most Hispanics remained loyal Democrats, though pre-election
polls showed that many maintained a favorable opinion of Bush. Bendixen
said that in recent months Bush's popularity among Hispanics shot
up from 42 percent to 70 percent.
While Bush is seeking votes, Fox is seeking dollars. Fox has made
no secret of Mexico's growing dependence on immigrant dollars--Mexicans
in the United States sent some $7 million back to their families
last year. Fox has encouraged Mexicans abroad to help fund public
works projects in Mexico. He has said he would match the amount
of money immigrants send back dollar for dollar.
There's a degree of desperation in Fox's asking America's worst
paid residents for help--as if there were little he could do to
improve Mexico's ailing economy. But that may indeed be the case.
Since the economic crisis of 1994, most Mexicans have been struggling
to get back on their feet. The current economic slowdown has had
a devastating effect on Mexico, which sells 85 percent of its exports
to the United States. The low-wage maquiladoras that now
dominate Mexico's industrial landscape offer no incentive for Mexicans
to stay in their country. NAFTA has done little in the past seven
years to reduce the country's poverty rates; up to 60 percent of
Mexico's population lives in some degree of poverty.
During Fox's visit, Bush told reporters that only by strengthening
its middle class can Mexico control its borders. That's easier said
than done. Significantly raising salaries and thus Mexico's standard
of living is unlikely, given the country's role as a low-wage haven
for multinationals in the new global economy. Instead, as a way
of generating much needed revenue, Fox has been pushing a fiscal
reform package that includes a 15 percent tax on food and medicine.
The revenue proposal, soundly rejected by the Mexican Congress and
the public, represents Fox's biggest political failure yet. Add
to that his inability to create new jobs, reduce crime or negotiate
peace with armed rebels in poor states such as Chiapas, Guerrero
and Oaxaca.
In the face of so many defeats at home, Fox has turned to foreign
policy in the way one might expect a lame duck American president
to do. The problem is, Fox has more than five years to go. Fox has
said that he is president of 118 million people, 18 million of whom
are living in the United States. Being a bold leader for these people
may help get Bush votes and even encourage Mexican immigrants to
wire home more money, but it won't solve the problems the other
100 million are suffering. 
Martin Espinoza has written for Pacific News Service,
the San Francisco Bay Guardian and CorpWatch.
He spent the last three years in Guanajuato, Mexico, writing about
Mexican politics and culture.
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