Trenton, New JerseyOn the surface, Bret Schundler's platform
has obvious
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Bret Schundler: a populist
Republican?
TAMMY MCGINLEY/KRT
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appeal to New Jersey voters. The Republican gubernatorial candidate
wants to tear down the plethora of tollbooths on the state's roads.
He has plans to reduce the tax burden on residents. He wants to improve
the state's schools. He's also against abortion, under any circumstances,
which New Jersey is not. And he's so enthusiastic about the Second
Amendment that he's said he would consider allowing citizens to carry
concealed weapons.
Amazingly enough, many of the state's politically moderate voters
seem willing to overlook Schundler's conservatism. In June, Schundler,
then mayor of Jersey City, won the Republican gubernatorial primarybeating
former Rep. Bob Franks, the moderate candidate of the party establishment,
by about 14 points. Schundler became the first conservative to win
a statewide Republican primary in more than 20 years.
This phenomenon isn't about New Jersey voters falling to the conservative
side of the political spectrumthe polls suggest otherwise.
Instead, voters seem to be responding to Schundler's policy suggestions.
Schundler has spent much of his time on the campaign trail addressing
specific voter concerns. For example, Schundler tells voters he
will tear down the unpopular toll booths on New Jersey's Garden
State Parkway within months of taking office. His opponent, Democratic
incumbent James McGreevey, tells voters that the various toll-collecting
authorities in the state ought to be merged. McGreevey's plan may
make sense to an economist, but Schundler's resonates more with
the voters. "[Voters] believe politicians cave into opposition,"
Schundler says. "I point out all the political enemies I have. They
say, 'Maybe this guy has a certain amount of courage.' "
Schundler's first foray into politics came in 1992, when the Democratic
mayor of Jersey City ended up out of office and in prison. Though
that first victory was narrow, Schundler became the first GOP mayor
of the city since World War I. When he was re-elected a year later,
he won with 69 percent of the vote. Schundler's term as mayor in
Jersey City was marked by successes that won him broad support among
his constituency. Crime droppedfollowing the national trend;
taxes were stabilized; and the downtown economy boomed as Schundler
attracted financial institutions from across the water, becoming
a bedroom community for urban pioneers who then buoyed property
values. Rich businesses, though, weren't the only beneficiaries
of Schundler's tenure in Jersey City. With job losses in Jersey
City outpacing the level of other distressed communitiessuch
as Newark and Camdenluring new businesses into town became
a key priority for Schundler. At the end of his term, Jersey City
was recording 10 times the job growth of the state's five other
largest cities combined. This gave him broad appeal in many communities,
even among minorities who typically voted the Democratic line.
Schundler's success in Jersey City advocating simple conceptssuch
as suggesting that parents know best how to care for their children,
and giving government employees more control over their health care
through medical savings accountsbuoyed his brand of compassionate
conservatism on the national scene. In 1999, William F. Buckley
Jr. joined in the fanfare by predicting that Schundler would be
a top presidential contender in 2008. But Schundler has more immediate
concerns. His initiatives for education in Jersey City have turned
into a proposal for school vouchershe'll offer tax credits
to parents who send their kids to private schooland a fight
against teacher tenure, which has enraged the unions. Even his popular
call for the elimination of tolls on the Garden State Parkway may
not be capable of closing McGreevey's double-digit lead. An early
August poll by Quinnipiac University put Schundler 19 points behind
McGreevey, though 17 percent of those polled remain undecided, and
44 percent said they don't know enough about Schundler to form an
opinion one way or another.
But in such a socially moderate state, Schundler's position on
abortion is clearly a political liability. A July poll by Quinnipiac
University found that nearly half of all voters in New Jersey say
abortion should be generally available, while an additional 37 percent
say abortion should be available with stricter limits. Only 14 percent
of the state's voters agree with Schundler that abortion should
never be permitted. "Being pro-life is not politically expedient,"
Schundler said in a late July interview. "There obviously is no
doubt about that."
The Schundler camp believes it can overcome this discord. "Bret
is not running under the conservative label, per se. He is a conservative,
but that's not what this campaign is about," says spokesman Bill
Guhl, noting that they haven't made abortion a driving issue in
this race.
That's what distinguishes Schundler from other conservative candidates:
Schundler's conservatism isn't the centerpiece of his candidacy.
"He didn't go around saying, 'You should vote for me because I'm
a conservative,' " Guhl says. "People aren't hung up on the conservative
label. They're interested in the new ideas."
Though the last few weeks have been stressfulthe campaigns
virtually shut down after the attacks in New York and Washingtonthe
dynamics of the campaign haven't changed much. McGreevey keeps trying
to paint Schundler as an extremist, and his position on abortion
continues to be a resounding note coming from the Democrats. Though
McGreevey has a sizable lead, he still needs to put up a tough fight
to prevent Schundler from making another comeback. A new poll conducted
by Quinnipiac University shortly after the September 11 attacks
gives McGreevey a 44 to 30 lead, five points less than he had in
August. Schundler may be closing in.
With national attentionand moneycoming Schundler's
way, the final weeks of the campaign will be intense. Schundler's
practical, no-nonsense approach to concrete issues is gaining the
interest not only of conservatives, but of many other voters.
"McGreevey is flirting with that magic 50 percent mark that politicians
say spells victory," Quinnipiac University polling institute director
Maurice Carroll said in August.
But the election is still several weeks off, and who knows what
surprises await.
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